The Taiwan Strait is not on the verge of war: The ‘2027 invasion’ countdown is a mirage
Source: Fortune ·
The “2027” narrative distorts global priorities and triggers unnecessary panic. Many observers overstate the likelihood of war.
From the source
The most striking feature of the September summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington was not what was discussed—trade, tariffs, technological competition—but what was not. Taiwan was not absent entirely—both sides touched on it in the low-key “agree to disagree” framing register that has come to define the issue—but it was conspicuously absent from the top tier of the agenda. Pundits continue to portray the Taiwan Strait as the world’s most dangerous flashpoint; the summit’s agenda suggested otherwise. That does not mean the Taiwan issue has disappeared. Taiwan remains the “core of core interests” for Beijing, and tensions across the Strait remain a central feature of U.S.-China relations. Precisely because the issue is so sensitive, both Washington and Beijing have strong incentives to preserve stability. For years, the Western world has been counting down to 2027. The year has acquired a talismanic significance for China watchers,…